There is still a refinement in the
probability of life:
Life is dependent on n planetary
conditions.
That they form the set N of life
prerequisites.
Then each element contributes to the overall probability.
This part is:
| 4.3.1 Equation |
 |
It is: 0 <
j < n+1
then applies to the total probability of life:
| 4.3.2 Equation |
 |
A differentiation of the individual components is
obtained by weighting the individual
elements.
| 4.3.3 Equation |
 |
Then the probability of life is:
| 4.3.4 Equation |
 |
Overall, the probability of life is:
| 4.3.5 Equation |
 |
Equation 4.3.5 is the most general approach
that can be made for any set N of life prerequisites that can still be weighted in their
action by the aj.
In a first approach,
it is assumed thatall parts have the same effect, so that
the weighting factors are all one, equation 4.3.2
applies.
| 4.3.6 Approach |
The weighting factors are
set equal to one
a1
= a2
= ... = aj
= ... = an
= 1 |
| |
|
| It then applies: |
 |
| It follows: |
 |
Here are 8 components called life allow.
It applies to the single probability: fj
= 1:72
Therefore, 8 failures can occur.
Thus, the chance of life arises 1 to 9.
That corresponds to a share of 11,11 %.
The probability factor for life is thus FL
= 0,111... = 1:9.
This approach is used in all following considerations as
the basis of the calculations.
|
