In order for a
civilization to develop so successfully that it reaches
level 6 or higher, it must overcome at least four more
difficulties. These are:
| 1 |
supply shortage
In the history of mankind, some cultures such as
the Maya or Anastasi have been destroyed by
famine, persistent drought and/or climate change.
Overexploitation[1], pollution[2] and
overpopulation[3] are additional risk potentials. |
| |
|
| 2 |
epidemics, pandemic
Historically, the plague and the "Spanish
flu" were the great epidemics that have
afflicted mankind so far. Today, for example, it
is the Ebola virus on the African continent.
Currently (Jan. 2016) an outbreak of the Zika
virus (family of Flaviviridae) as a potential
danger ("Zika Fever") is
controversially discussed.
All these pandemics have the potential to
eradicate humanity. This is what happened to the
Indians of North and South America when the
Europeans appeared on their territory. [4] |
| |
|
| 3 |
wars
Many states and cultures have already fallen as a
result of wars. Another potential risk of
destruction is the fact that the major industrial
nations have had sufficient destructive power to
wipe out humanity several times over the past 60
years. [5] |
| |
|
| 4 |
cataclysms
Regional disasters such as volcanism as lahar and
pyroclastic flows or earthquakes caused by plate
tectonics, as well as tsunamis, forest fires and
hurricanes can develop into considerable
difficulties in human development. [6] |
| |
|
| 5 |
internal conflicts
Failure of the infrastructure due to hacker
attacks or sabotage as well as social unrest and
revolutions or civil war can lead to considerable
difficulties in human development. [7]
|
Shortages of supplies, pandemics, wars, disasters and
internal conflicts are partly caused by cultural
factors and partly by environmental
influences.
Every advanced civilization will have to overcome these
obstacles in its development. There are five chances of
failure. According to this, there is a chance for a
civilization to survive from Fu = 1:6
|
